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Volatility Modeling for Spot and Futures of Crude Oil – Evidence from Pakistan

Abstract

In this article, we study the volatility of Spots and Futures of Crude Oil using daily data from the period 2010-2013. We examine both the Crude Oil Spots and Crude Oil Futures traded on the Pakistan Mercantile Exchange. Our main findings suggest that (1) shocks tend to persist over a long period of time for both Crude Oil Spots and Crude Oil Futures; and (2) shocks have asymmetric effect on the volatility. Hence our findings indicate that behavior of Crude Oil Spots prices and Crude Oil Future prices tends to vary over time.

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